Source quality
Prefer systematic reviews, peer-reviewed research, official statistics and primary legal or policy sources appropriate to the claim.
ASU-IGC-001 · PHASE 3
Controlled research protocol
A public method for developing, testing, challenging and revising the Intergenerational Goal Continuity and Social Evolution framework.
PURPOSE AND SCOPE
Turn a developing idea into a testable research programme
The protocol separates terminology, propositions, evidence status, competing explanations, disconfirmation criteria, literature review, ethics, revision and external review. The principal theory wording remains published at asultd.com.
Numbered propositions
| ID | Proposition | Current status | What could weaken it |
|---|---|---|---|
| P01 | Recurring family narratives, expectations and practices may influence later priorities through learning and socialisation. | Working hypothesis | No association after credible controls, or better explanation by unrelated factors. |
| P02 | Social, institutional, economic and historical conditions may moderate whether continuity strengthens, changes or ends. | Working hypothesis | No meaningful moderation across well-designed comparative studies. |
| P03 | Separation, rejection, mobility, new relationships and institutional change may redirect or interrupt continuity. | Working hypothesis | Predicted disruptions do not alter measured outcomes. |
| P04 | AI-rich environments may change which cognitive skills are practised, delegated, rewarded or neglected. | Open empirical question | Longitudinal evidence shows no relevant change or effects are better explained elsewhere. |
| P05 | Many interacting personal and group trajectories may contribute to changes in institutions, norms and collective priorities. | Broad working hypothesis | Individual-level mechanisms do not scale or aggregate as predicted. |
Required comparisons
- Social learning and cultural evolution
- Developmental psychology and family systems
- Socioeconomic persistence and institutional effects
- Behavioural genetics and gene–environment correlation, without inferring heredity from correlation
- Selection, reporting, memory and survivorship bias
- Chance, individual agency and within-family variation
Evidence thresholds
Traceability
Record the exact claim, source, date, population, method, limitation and relevance.
Disconfirmation
Log contrary and null findings with the same discipline as supportive findings.
Revision
Change or retire propositions when the evidence requires it, preserving the prior record.
Research boundaries
Research involving people or sensitive records requires consent, privacy protection, data minimisation, safeguarding and independent ethical review where applicable. The long-term biological extension remains speculative and separate from the near-term cultural and behavioural research programme.